ANALIZ.FUTBOL

Mainz 05 – Bayer Leverkusen Pre-Match Analysis Presentation

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ANALİZ.FUTBOLPRE-MATCH ANALYSIS PRESENTATION
German Bundesliga · 2026/2027 · Mewa Arena10.10.2026 · 16:30Turkey time
Mainz 057. place · 7 pts
WDWLW
VS
Bayer Leverkusen6. place · 7 pts
DLWDW
In this presentationPage 23 · all statistics from the teams’ last 5 matches · final page: methodology and sources
01Page 2
League Table
  • Pre-match standings
  • Both teams’ position and points
  • Last 5 matches form
02Pages 3–7
Goal Analysis
  • Goal Averages
  • Recent Matches and Opponents
  • Goal Thresholds
  • Goal minutes
  • Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu’s comments
Mainz 05 / Bayer Leverkusen
Total goals per match3.60 / 3.40
3+ goals60% / 60%
03Pages 8–12
Corner Analysis
  • Corner Averages
  • Recent Matches and Corners
  • Corner Thresholds
  • Corner Balance and Halves
  • Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu’s comments
Mainz 05 / Bayer Leverkusen
Total corners per match10.00 / 12.20
10+ corners40% / 80%
04Pages 13–17
Card Analysis
  • Card Averages
  • Recent Matches and Cards
  • Card Thresholds
  • Referee and Halves
  • Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu’s comments
Mainz 05 / Bayer Leverkusen
Total cards per match4.40 / 3.80
5+ cards20% / 40%
05Pages 18–22
Combined Analysis
  • Free kicks
  • Goal Kicks
  • Throw-Ins
  • Recent matches
  • Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu’s comments
Mainz 05 / Bayer Leverkusen
Free Kick avg.10.40 / 10.80
Goal Kick avg.7.00 / 6.00
ANALIZ.FUTBOLGOAL ANALYSIS
League TablePre-match standings and form in the last 5 matches
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

German Bundesliga 2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsLast 5
1Borussia Dortmund541011:4+713WWWWD
2Bayern München431014:2+1210WDWW
3Freiburg431012:3+910WWWD
4Werder Bremen522110:1008LWDWD
5Augsburg421111:6+57WWDL
6Bayer Leverkusen421110:5+57LWDW
7Mainz 05421110:6+47DWLW
8Elversberg42118:7+17WWLD
9RB Leipzig42029:5+46WLWL
10Eintracht Frankfurt41219:10-15DLWD
11Schalke 0441213:4-15LDWD
12Paderborn41123:5-24DLLW
13Köln41126:9-34WLDL
14Hoffenheim41037:10-33LLWL
15Stuttgart41036:9-33LWLL
16Hamburger SV41032:13-113LLLW
17Union Berlin40134:17-131DLLL
18Borussia M'gladbach40046:16-100LLLL
ANALIZ.FUTBOLGOAL ANALYSIS
Goal AveragesGoals scored and conceded in the last 5 matches · overall / home / away
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · Overall

12Goals scored
6Goals conceded
Scored per match 2.40Conceded per match 1.20Total goals per match 3.60Both teams to score 40% (2)Clean sheet 60% (3)Failed to score 20% (1)
5 matches

Mainz 05 · Home

5Goals scored
11Goals conceded
Scored per match 1.00Conceded per match 2.20Total goals per match 3.20Both teams to score 60% (3)Clean sheet 20% (1)Failed to score 40% (2)
5 matches

Bayer Leverkusen · Overall

11Goals scored
6Goals conceded
Scored per match 2.20Conceded per match 1.20Total goals per match 3.40Both teams to score 60% (3)Clean sheet 40% (2)Failed to score 0% (0)
5 matches

Bayer Leverkusen · Away

8Goals scored
9Goals conceded
Scored per match 1.60Conceded per match 1.80Total goals per match 3.40Both teams to score 80% (4)Clean sheet 20% (1)Failed to score 0% (0)
5 matches
ANALIZ.FUTBOLGOAL ANALYSIS
Recent Matches and OpponentsThe teams’ last 5 matches, their opponents’ league positions and first-half scores
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · Last 5 matches (Overall) · 7. place

DateOpponentOpponent's positionScoreHT
19.09.26AwayBorussia M'gladbach18.4-32-1
12.09.26HomeEintracht Frankfurt10.1-30-2
06.09.26AwayHamburger SV16.5-02-0
29.08.26HomePaderborn12.0-00-0
16.05.26AwayHeidenheim—2-02-0

Bayer Leverkusen · Last 5 matches (Overall) · 6. place

DateOpponentOpponent's positionScoreHT
20.09.26HomeRB Leipzig9.2-01-0
12.09.26AwayAugsburg5.2-21-0
05.09.26HomeUnion Berlin17.4-02-0
29.08.26AwayElversberg8.2-30-2
16.05.26HomeHamburger SV16.1-10-0

Mainz 05 · Last 5 home matches · 7nd place

DateOpponentOpponent's positionScoreHT
12.09.26HomeEintracht Frankfurt10.1-30-2
29.08.26HomePaderborn12.0-00-0
10.05.26HomeUnion Berlin17.1-30-1
25.04.26HomeBayern München2.3-43-0
12.04.26HomeFreiburg3.0-10-0

Bayer Leverkusen · Last 5 away match · No. 6

DateOpponentOpponent's positionScoreHT
12.09.26AwayAugsburg5.2-21-0
29.08.26AwayElversberg8.2-30-2
09.05.26AwayStuttgart15.1-31-2
25.04.26AwayKöln13.2-11-0
11.04.26AwayBorussia Dortmund1.1-01-0

Rankings are based on the league table before this match. "—": opponent is not in the same league table (cup, another league or previous season).

ANALIZ.FUTBOLGOAL ANALYSIS
Goal ThresholdsBetween 1+ and 5+ goals in the last 5 matches · full time and first half
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Total goals at full time

Mainz 05OverallMainz 05HomeBayer LeverkusenGenelBayer LeverkusenAway
1+ goals80%4 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches100%5 / 5 matches100%5 / 5 matches
2+ goals80%4 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches100%5 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
3+ goals60%3 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
4+ goals60%3 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
5+ goals40%2 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches

First-half total goals

Mainz 05OverallMainz 05HomeBayer LeverkusenGenelBayer LeverkusenAway
1+ goals80%4 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches100%5 / 5 matches
2+ goals80%4 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
3+ goals20%1 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches
4+ goals0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches
5+ goals0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches

70% and above 40%–69 below 40% · The first-half table counts only matches with a known first-half score.

ANALIZ.FUTBOLGOAL ANALYSIS
Goal minutesWhen do they score their goals?
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · Overall

1 · 8%0-15'2 · 17%15-30'3 · 25%30-45+'1 · 8%45-60'060-75'5 · 42%75-90+'
12Goals scored
6 / 6First half / Second half
50% (2/4)matches in which they scored first
Conceded20-15015-30130-45+245-60060-75175-90+6total

Bayer Leverkusen · Overall

1 · 9%0-15'2 · 18%15-30'1 · 9%30-45+'2 · 18%45-60'1 · 9%60-75'4 · 36%75-90+'
11Goals scored
4 / 7First half / Second half
60% (3/5)matches in which they scored first
Conceded20-15015-30030-45+345-60160-75075-90+6total

Mainz 05 · Home

1 · 20%0-15'1 · 20%15-30'1 · 20%30-45+'1 · 20%45-60'060-75'1 · 20%75-90+'
5Goals scored
3 / 2First half / Second half
25% (1/4)matches in which they scored first
Conceded10-15015-30230-45+345-60160-75475-90+11total

Bayer Leverkusen · Away

1 · 13%0-15'1 · 13%15-30'2 · 25%30-45+'1 · 13%45-60'060-75'3 · 38%75-90+'
8Goals scored
4 / 4First half / Second half
80% (4/5)matches in which they scored first
Conceded30-15015-30130-45+445-60060-75175-90+9total

Chart: goals scored (number · percentage). Covers 30-45+ first-half stoppage time and 75-90+ full-time stoppage time. Bottom line: goals conceded in the same periods.

ANALIZ.FUTBOLGOAL ANALYSIS
DeğerlendirmeInterpretation of the data in the tables
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu provides his analysis

Mainz 05 scored 12 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches; they scored 2.40 goals per match and saw 1.20 total goals per match. At home, however, the figures from their last 5 matches are 5 goals scored and 11 conceded; the total goals average in these matches was 3.20. In Bayer Leverkusen's last 5 matches, 11 goals were scored and 6 conceded; the total goals per match averaged 3.40 in their last 5 away matches. Looking at goals, Mainz 05 matches ended with 2 or more goals 80% of the time and 3 or more goals 60% of the time; for Bayer Leverkusen, the corresponding figures were 100% and 60%. At home, Mainz 05 had a 3-or-more-goal rate of 60% in their matches, while away, the rate was 80% in Bayer Leverkusen matches.

The first halves tell a separate story: the percentage of Mainz 05 matches with a first-half goal was 80%, compared with 80% for Bayer Leverkusen; the percentage with 2 or more first-half goals ranged from 80% to 40%. Mainz 05 score most of their goals between minutes 75 and 90+, while Bayer Leverkusen are most productive between 75 and 90+. For both teams to score, Mainz 05 played matches in which both teams scored in 2 of their last 5 matches, while Bayer Leverkusen did so in 3. This table clearly shows both teams' tendencies in scoring and conceding, but remember that the sample consists of only the last 5 matches, and in football, a single moment can change all the statistics. While watching the match, we recommend paying particular attention to when the first goal is scored and how the teams respond to the scoreline; the story behind these numbers is often written there.

— Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu

Pre-match goal expectations · last 5 + 5 matches

3.50Expected goals
50%Both teams to score · 5/10
90%2+ goals · 9/10
60%3+ goals · 6/10
60%4+ goals · 6/10
30%5+ goals · 3/10
80%HT 1+ goals · 8\/10
60%HT 2+ goals · 6\/10

Last 5 matches between them

3.40goals per match
60%3+ goals · 3/5
80%Both teams to score · 4/5
ANALIZ.FUTBOLCORNER ANALYSIS
Corner AveragesCorners taken and conceded to opponents in the last 5 matches · overall / home / away
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · Overall

27corners taken
23corners conceded to opponents
Corners won per match 5.40Corners conceded to the opponent per match 4.60Total corners per match 10.00Highest / lowest total 13 / 9More corners than the opponent 2 / 5Corner difference per match +0.80
5 matches with corner data

Mainz 05 · Home

32corners taken
23corners conceded to opponents
Corners won per match 6.40Corners conceded to the opponent per match 4.60Total corners per match 11.00Highest / lowest total 15 / 8More corners than the opponent 2 / 5Corner difference per match +1.80
5 matches with corner data

Bayer Leverkusen · Overall

45corners taken
16corners conceded to opponents
Corners won per match 9.00Corners conceded to the opponent per match 3.20Total corners per match 12.20Highest / lowest total 16 / 7More corners than the opponent 4 / 5Corner difference per match +5.80
5 matches with corner data

Bayer Leverkusen · Away

33corners taken
20corners conceded to opponents
Corners won per match 6.60Corners conceded to the opponent per match 4.00Total corners per match 10.60Highest / lowest total 16 / 7More corners than the opponent 2 / 5Corner difference per match +2.60
5 matches with corner data
ANALIZ.FUTBOLCORNER ANALYSIS
Recent Matches and CornersThe teams’ last 5 matches, opponents’ league positions and corner counts
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · Last 5 matches (Overall) · 7. place

DateOpponentPosScoreCornersTotalHT
19.09.26AwayBorussia M'gladbach18.4-34-6101-3
12.09.26HomeEintracht Frankfurt10.1-34-591-4
06.09.26AwayHamburger SV16.5-05-492-1
29.08.26HomePaderborn12.0-011-2134-2
16.05.26AwayHeidenheim—2-03-692-2

Bayer Leverkusen · Last 5 matches (Overall) · 6. place

DateOpponentPosScoreCornersTotalHT
20.09.26HomeRB Leipzig9.2-09-6151-3
12.09.26AwayAugsburg5.2-214-2165-1
05.09.26HomeUnion Berlin17.4-011-1125-0
29.08.26AwayElversberg8.2-33-471-4
16.05.26HomeHamburger SV16.1-18-3113-2

Mainz 05 · Last 5 home matches · 7nd place

DateOpponentPosScoreCornersTotalHT
12.09.26HomeEintracht Frankfurt10.1-34-591-4
29.08.26HomePaderborn12.0-011-2134-2
10.05.26HomeUnion Berlin17.1-37-8153-5
25.04.26HomeBayern München2.3-44-482-2
12.04.26HomeFreiburg3.0-16-4103-0

Bayer Leverkusen · Last 5 away match · No. 6

DateOpponentPosScoreCornersTotalHT
12.09.26AwayAugsburg5.2-214-2165-1
29.08.26AwayElversberg8.2-33-471-4
09.05.26AwayStuttgart15.1-36-7133-4
25.04.26AwayKöln13.2-15-275-0
11.04.26AwayBorussia Dortmund1.1-05-510—

Corners: taken by the team - taken by the opponent. HT: first-half corners (team - opponent). Only matches with recorded corner data are counted. Rankings are based on the league table before this match.

ANALIZ.FUTBOLCORNER ANALYSIS
Corner ThresholdsTotal and team corner-count thresholds in the last 5 matches
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Total match corners

Mainz 05OverallMainz 05HomeBayer LeverkusenGenelBayer LeverkusenAway
8+100%5 / 5 matches100%5 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
9+100%5 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
10+40%2 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
11+20%1 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
12+20%1 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches

Team corners

Mainz 05OverallMainz 05HomeBayer LeverkusenGenelBayer LeverkusenAway
3+100%5 / 5 matches100%5 / 5 matches100%5 / 5 matches100%5 / 5 matches
4+80%4 / 5 matches100%5 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
5+40%2 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
6+20%1 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
7+20%1 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches

70% and above 40%–69 below 40% · The right table counts only corners won by the team itself.

ANALIZ.FUTBOLCORNER ANALYSIS
Corner Balance and HalvesCorner advantage over the opponent and first-half / second-half corner averages
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · Overall corner balance

2 more than the opponent0 tied3 fewer than the opponent
5.40used
4.60conceded
+0.80difference per match

Bayer Leverkusen · Corner Balance (Overall)

4 more than the opponent0 tied1 fewer than the opponent
9.00used
3.20conceded
+5.80difference per match

Mainz 05 · Corners by half

4.40First-half total5.60Second-half total2.00Used in the first half
80%İY 4+ · 4/5
40%İY 5+ · 2/5
20%İY 6+ · 1/5

5 matches with half-time data

Bayer Leverkusen · Corners by half

5.00First-half total7.20Second-half total3.00Used in the first half
100%İY 4+ · 5/5
80%İY 5+ · 4/5
20%İY 6+ · 1/5

5 matches with half-time data

ANALIZ.FUTBOLCORNER ANALYSIS
DeğerlendirmeInterpretation of the data in the tables
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu provides his analysis

Mainz 05 averaged 5.40 corners per match in their last 5 matches, while allowing their opponents 4.60 corners; the total corners average in these matches was 10.00. They averaged 6.40 corners in their last 5 home matches, while the total corners per match averaged 11.00. In Bayer Leverkusen's last 5 matches, 9.00 corners were taken per match and 3.20 were conceded; the total corners average in their last 5 away matches was 10.60. Mainz 05 matches ended with 9+ corners in 100% of cases and 10+ corners in 40%; for Bayer Leverkusen, these rates are 80% and 80%, respectively. The highest total corner count was 13 in Mainz 05 matches and 16 in Bayer Leverkusen matches; this shows that both teams have played matches capable of pushing their corner totals higher.

In terms of corner balance, Mainz 05 took more corners than their opponents in 2 of their last 5 matches, while Bayer Leverkusen did so in 4 of 5 matches. Comparing the teams' recent matches, the expected total corners per match is 11.10; the expected number of corners for the home team is 4.30 and 6.80 for the away team. The combined first-half corner expectation is 4.70. Corner counts depend heavily on the flow of the game, whether the score changes early and the teams' preference for using the wings; when the leading team sits back, the opponent's corner count can rise quickly. This table clearly shows both teams' attacking direction and pressing approach, but remember that the sample consists of only the last 5 matches, and in football, a single moment can change all the statistics. While watching the match, we recommend paying attention to wing play and how the scoreline changes the teams' game plans.

— Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu

Pre-match corner expectations · last 5 + 5 matches

11.10Expected total
4.30Home team expected
6.80Away team expected
90%9+ corners · 9/10
60%10+ corners · 6/10
50%11+ corners · 5/10
4.70Expected in the first half
ANALIZ.FUTBOLCARD ANALYSIS
Card AveragesCards received in the last 5 matches and cards received by the opponent · overall / home / away
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · Overall

10cards received
12opponent cards
Cards received per match 2.00Opponent cards per match 2.40Total cards per match 4.40Highest / lowest total 11 / 2Yellow / red (own) 10 / 0Match with a red card 0 / 5
5 matches with card data

Mainz 05 · Home

5cards received
10opponent cards
Cards received per match 1.00Opponent cards per match 2.00Total cards per match 3.00Highest / lowest total 4 / 2Yellow / red (own) 5 / 0Match with a red card 0 / 5
5 matches with card data

Bayer Leverkusen · Overall

8cards received
11opponent cards
Cards received per match 1.60Opponent cards per match 2.20Total cards per match 3.80Highest / lowest total 5 / 2Yellow / red (own) 8 / 0Match with a red card 0 / 5
5 matches with card data

Bayer Leverkusen · Away

6cards received
10opponent cards
Cards received per match 1.20Opponent cards per match 2.00Total cards per match 3.20Highest / lowest total 5 / 2Yellow / red (own) 6 / 0Match with a red card 0 / 5
5 matches with card data
ANALIZ.FUTBOLCARD ANALYSIS
Recent Matches and CardsThe teams’ last 5 matches, opponents’ league positions and card counts
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · Last 5 matches (Overall) · 7. place

DateOpponentPosScoreCardsTotalRed
19.09.26AwayBorussia M'gladbach18.4-35-6110-0
12.09.26HomeEintracht Frankfurt10.1-30-220-0
06.09.26AwayHamburger SV16.5-03-140-0
29.08.26HomePaderborn12.0-01-230-0
16.05.26AwayHeidenheim—2-01-120-0

Bayer Leverkusen · Last 5 matches (Overall) · 6. place

DateOpponentPosScoreCardsTotalRed
20.09.26HomeRB Leipzig9.2-02-350-0
12.09.26AwayAugsburg5.2-21-120-0
05.09.26HomeUnion Berlin17.4-02-240-0
29.08.26AwayElversberg8.2-32-350-0
16.05.26HomeHamburger SV16.1-11-230-0

Mainz 05 · Last 5 home matches · 7nd place

DateOpponentPosScoreCardsTotalRed
12.09.26HomeEintracht Frankfurt10.1-30-220-0
29.08.26HomePaderborn12.0-01-230-0
10.05.26HomeUnion Berlin17.1-32-130-0
25.04.26HomeBayern München2.3-41-230-0
12.04.26HomeFreiburg3.0-11-340-0

Bayer Leverkusen · Last 5 away match · No. 6

DateOpponentPosScoreCardsTotalRed
12.09.26AwayAugsburg5.2-21-120-0
29.08.26AwayElversberg8.2-32-350-0
09.05.26AwayStuttgart15.1-31-230-0
25.04.26AwayKöln13.2-12-130-0
11.04.26AwayBorussia Dortmund1.1-00-330-0

Cards: team received - opponent received (each yellow and red card counts as 1 card). Red: Team - Opponent. Only matches with recorded card data are counted. Rankings are based on the league table before this match.

ANALIZ.FUTBOLCARD ANALYSIS
Card ThresholdsTotal and team card-count thresholds in the last 5 matches
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Total match cards

Mainz 05OverallMainz 05HomeBayer LeverkusenGenelBayer LeverkusenAway
3+60%3 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
4+40%2 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches
5+20%1 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches
6+20%1 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches
7+20%1 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches

Cards received by the team

Mainz 05OverallMainz 05HomeBayer LeverkusenGenelBayer LeverkusenAway
1+80%4 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches100%5 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
2+40%2 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
3+40%2 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches
4+20%1 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches

70% and above 40%–69 below 40% · The right-hand table counts only cards received by the team itself.

ANALIZ.FUTBOLCARD ANALYSIS
Referee and HalvesThe referee’s last 5 matches and first-half / second-half card averages
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Referee

A referee has not yet been appointed or announced for this match. You can update the analysis with "Refresh" once the referee is announced.

Mainz 05 · Cards by half

1.00First-half total3.40Second-half total0.20Saw in the first half
80%İY 1+ · 4/5
20%İY 2+ · 1/5
0%İY 3+ · 0/5

5 matches with half-time data

Bayer Leverkusen · Cards by half

1.20First-half total2.60Second-half total0.00Saw in the first half
100%İY 1+ · 5/5
20%İY 2+ · 1/5
0%İY 3+ · 0/5

5 matches with half-time data

ANALIZ.FUTBOLCARD ANALYSIS
DeğerlendirmeInterpretation of the data in the tables
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu provides his analysis

Mainz 05 averaged 2.00 cards per match in their last 5 matches, while their opponents received 2.40 cards; the total cards average in these matches was 4.40. They averaged 1.00 cards in their last 5 home matches, while the total cards per match averaged 3.00. In Bayer Leverkusen's last 5 matches, 1.60 cards were shown per match and their opponents received 2.20; the total cards average was 3.20 in their last 5 away matches. In terms of total cards, Mainz 05 matches ended with 4+ cards in 40% of games and 5+ cards in 20%; for Bayer Leverkusen, these figures were 60% and 40%, respectively. The most physical match featured 11 cards for Mainz 05 and 5 for Bayer Leverkusen.

Comparing the teams' recent matches, the expected total cards per match is 4.10; the expected number of cards for the home team is 2.10 and 2.00 for the away team. The number of matches featuring a red card in the combined sample is 0. Card counts depend heavily on the match's intensity, the scoreline and the referee's style of officiating; an early goal or controversial incident can change the tempo instantly. This table provides a solid framework for the card market, but remember that the sample consists of only the last 5 matches, and in football, a single moment can change all the statistics. When making your decision, we recommend considering this data alongside squad status, motivation and the importance of the match, and always acting moderately and responsibly.

— Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu

Pre-match card expectations · last 5 + 5 matches

4.10Expected total
2.10Home team expected
2.00Away team expected
50%4+ cards · 5\/10
30%5+ cards · 3\/10
10%6+ cards · 1\/10
0%Matches with a red card · 0/10
1.10Expected in the first half
ANALIZ.FUTBOLCOMBINED ANALYSIS
Free kicksEach team separately · last 5 matches · first half / second half / full match
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · per-match averages

First halfSecond halfFull match
UsedOpponentUsedOpponentUsedOpponentTotal
Overall5 matches————10.4012.4022.80
Home5 matches————10.2011.0021.20
Match total
OverallHome
19+80%4 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
21+40%2 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
23+40%2 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
25+20%1 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches
Used by the team
OverallHome
9+60%3 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
10+60%3 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
11+40%2 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches
12+40%2 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches

Highest / lowest total: 33 / 18 · Matches in which they took more than the opponent: 1 / 5 · No half-by-half data

Bayer Leverkusen · per-match averages

First halfSecond halfFull match
UsedOpponentUsedOpponentUsedOpponentTotal
Overall5 matches————10.8012.0022.80
Away5 matches————10.409.0019.40
Match total
OverallAway
19+60%3 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
21+60%3 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches
23+40%2 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches
25+20%1 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches
Used by the team
OverallAway
9+60%3 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
10+60%3 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
11+40%2 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
12+40%2 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches

Highest / lowest total: 33 / 18 · Matches in which they took more than the opponent: 3 / 5 · No half-by-half data

ANALIZ.FUTBOLCOMBINED ANALYSIS
Goal KicksEach team separately · last 5 matches · first half / second half / full match
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · per-match averages

First halfSecond halfFull match
UsedOpponentUsedOpponentUsedOpponentTotal
Overall5 matches————7.009.0016.00
Home5 matches————6.409.8016.20
Match total
OverallHome
14+80%4 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
16+60%3 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
18+20%1 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches
20+0%0 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches
Used by the team
OverallHome
5+80%4 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
6+60%3 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
7+40%2 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
8+40%2 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches

Highest / lowest total: 19 / 12 · Matches in which they took more than the opponent: 2 / 5 · No half-by-half data

Bayer Leverkusen · per-match averages

First halfSecond halfFull match
UsedOpponentUsedOpponentUsedOpponentTotal
Overall5 matches————6.0012.0018.00
Away5 matches————7.4010.2017.60
Match total
OverallAway
14+60%3 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
16+60%3 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
18+60%3 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
20+60%3 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
Used by the team
OverallAway
5+60%3 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
6+40%2 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
7+40%2 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
8+40%2 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches

Highest / lowest total: 23 / 11 · Matches in which they took more than the opponent: 0 / 5 · No half-by-half data

ANALIZ.FUTBOLCOMBINED ANALYSIS
Throw-InsEach team separately · last 5 matches · first half / second half / full match
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · per-match averages

First halfSecond halfFull match
UsedOpponentUsedOpponentUsedOpponentTotal
Overall5 matches————19.6019.6039.20
Home5 matches————21.4015.6037.00
Match total
OverallHome
30+100%5 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
33+100%5 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
36+40%2 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
39+40%2 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
Used by the team
OverallHome
15+80%4 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
17+60%3 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
19+40%2 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
21+20%1 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches

Highest / lowest total: 51 / 33 · Matches in which they took more than the opponent: 3 / 5 · No half-by-half data

Bayer Leverkusen · per-match averages

First halfSecond halfFull match
UsedOpponentUsedOpponentUsedOpponentTotal
Overall5 matches————16.8014.0030.80
Away5 matches————16.0014.2030.20
Match total
OverallAway
30+60%3 / 5 matches40%2 / 5 matches
33+40%2 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches
36+0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches
39+0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches
Used by the team
OverallAway
15+100%5 / 5 matches80%4 / 5 matches
17+60%3 / 5 matches60%3 / 5 matches
19+0%0 / 5 matches20%1 / 5 matches
21+0%0 / 5 matches0%0 / 5 matches

Highest / lowest total: 35 / 27 · Matches in which they took more than the opponent: 4 / 5 · No half-by-half data

ANALIZ.FUTBOLCOMBINED ANALYSIS
Recent matchesThe teams’ free-kick, goal-kick and throw-in counts in their last 5 matches
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Mainz 05 · Last 5 matches · 7. place

DateOpponentScoreFree kickFT (HT)Goal kickFT (HT)Throw-inFT (HT)
19.09.26AwayBorussia M'gladbach4-312-1210-716-17
12.09.26HomeEintracht Frankfurt1-38-113-931-20
06.09.26AwayHamburger SV5-014-195-1018-16
29.08.26HomePaderborn0-010-86-1119-15
16.05.26AwayHeidenheim2-08-1211-814-30

Bayer Leverkusen · Last 5 matches · 6. place

DateOpponentScoreFree kickFT (HT)Goal kickFT (HT)Throw-inFT (HT)
20.09.26HomeRB Leipzig2-08-1410-1316-14
12.09.26AwayAugsburg2-26-123-916-12
05.09.26HomeUnion Berlin4-012-115-618-17
29.08.26AwayElversberg2-318-154-1917-17
16.05.26HomeHamburger SV1-110-88-1317-10

Values: team’s total - opponent’s total, with the first half in parentheses. "—": this data was not recorded for that match. Rankings are based on the league table before this match.

ANALIZ.FUTBOLCOMBINED ANALYSIS
DeğerlendirmeInterpretation of the data in the tables
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30

Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu provides his analysis

For free kicks, Mainz 05 took 10.40 per match and their opponents took 12.40 in their last 5 matches; Bayer Leverkusen took 10.80 per match and allowed their opponents 12.00. In terms of total match figures, Mainz 05 matches ended with 21+ free kicks in 40% of cases, while the rate was 60% in Bayer Leverkusen matches. For goal kicks, Mainz 05 averaged 7.00 per match and their opponents 9.00 in their last 5 matches; Bayer Leverkusen averaged 6.00 per match and allowed their opponents 12.00. In terms of total match figures, Mainz 05 matches ended with 16+ goal kicks in 60% of cases, while the rate was 60% in Bayer Leverkusen matches. For throw-ins, Mainz 05 averaged 19.60 per match and their opponents 19.60 in their last 5 matches; Bayer Leverkusen averaged 16.80 per match and allowed their opponents 14.00. Overall, 100% of Mainz 05 matches ended with 33+ throw-ins, compared with 40% in Bayer Leverkusen matches. These numbers also reflect both teams' playing styles: throw-in and goal-kick counts show how often the ball goes out of play, while free-kick counts indicate how physical and stop-start the match was.

For free kicks: comparing the teams' recent matches, the expected total free kicks per match is 22.80; 11.20 for the home team and 11.60 for the away team. For goal kicks: comparing the teams' recent matches, the expected total goal kicks per match is 17.00; 9.50 for the home team and 7.50 for the away team. For throw-ins: comparing the teams' recent matches, the expected total throw-ins per match is 35.00; 16.80 for the home team and 18.20 for the away team. These statistics depend heavily on the flow of the game, the scoreline and the teams' pressing choices; when the leading team sits back, the opponent's throw-in and free-kick counts can rise quickly. Remember that the sample consists of only the last 5 matches; when making your decision, we recommend considering this data alongside squad status, motivation and the importance of the match, and always acting moderately and responsibly.

— Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu

Free-kick expectation · last 5 + 5 matches

22.80Expected total
11.20Home team
11.60Away

Goal-kick expectation · last 5 + 5 matches

17.00Expected total
9.50Home team
7.50Away

Throw-in expectation · last 5 + 5 matches

35.00Expected total
16.80Home team
18.20Away
ANALIZ.FUTBOLGOAL ANALYSIS
InformationMethodology, Sources and Terms of Use
Mainz 05vsBayer Leverkusen10.10.2026 · 16:30
WITH DATA
FOOTBALLAn independent analysis created to understand football through statistics.

Methodology, Sources and Terms of Use

  • Method: All statistics are calculated from the teams' last 5 matches before this game (with home/away splits shown separately). Averages and percentages are calculated automatically from matches with available data.
  • Source: Match data is obtained from licensed football data providers. Data may contain a margin of error; past performance is not an indicator of future results.
  • Commentary: The assessment sections are Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu's personal football commentary based on these statistics; they do not guarantee results.
  • This content is not intended for betting or gambling; analiz.futbol is not a betting website.
  • Team names and logos are the property of the respective clubs and rights holders; used for identification purposes only.
  • All rights to this content belong to analiz.futbol. May be quoted with attribution and a link; unauthorized copying and reproduction are prohibited.

Prepared by: Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu · ANALİZ.FUTBOL · 10.10.2026

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Quick summary

In their last 5 matches, Mainz 05 scored 2.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match; Bayer Leverkusen scored 2.20 and conceded 1.20 per match. Across the two teams’ last 5 matches, the average total goals per match is 3.50. For corners, Mainz 05 takes 5.40 per match, while Bayer Leverkusen takes 9.00; the combined average is 11.10 corners per match.

Statistics table

Mainz 05 - Bayer Leverkusen: Last 5 matches statistics
StatisticMainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Recent matches (oldest to newest)G B G M GB M G B G
Goals scored per match2.402.20
Goals conceded per match1.201.20
Total goals per match3.603.40
Matches with 3+ goals60%60%
Corners won per match5.409.00
Total corners in their matches10.0012.20
Cards received per match2.001.60
Free kicks (per match)10.4010.80
Goal kicks (per match)7.006.00
Throw-ins (per match)19.6016.80

Result and analysis comparison

Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen (2-2 first half)

Strong signalResultStatus
At least 2 goals in the matchPre-match data: 90% (9/10)7 goals✓ Happened
At least 1 first-half goalsPre-match data: 80% (8/10)Half-time 2-2✓ Happened
At least 9 corners in the matchPre-match data: 90% (9/10)7 corners✗ Gerçekleşmedi
At most 5 cards in the matchPre-match data: 90% (9/10)4 cards✓ Happened

Overall result of all matches: Analysis Scorecard.

Who Will Win?

Voting closed when the match began. Readers’ pre-match choice:

📱 Watch as a match story · All analyses dated 10 October · Compare teams

Frequently asked questions

When and what time is the Mainz 05 - Bayer Leverkusen match?

The Mainz 05–Bayer Leverkusen match will be played on 10 October 2026 16:30 in the Germany Bundesliga (Turkey time), with Mewa Arena as the venue.

How many goals did Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen score in their last 5 matches?

Mainz 05 scored 12 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches. Bayer Leverkusen scored 11 goals and conceded 6 in its last 5 match.

How many corners are expected in the Mainz 05 - Bayer Leverkusen match?

Based on the two teams’ average over their last 5 matches, total corners per match are 11.10; Mainz 05 takes 5.40 per match and Bayer Leverkusen 9.00 corners.

Prepared by: · · Statistics are calculated from the two teams' last 5 matches. analiz.futbol does not publish betting content.