TurkeyHome team
BelgiumAwayHow Can They Win?
Turkey lead in 11 of the 21 categories we compared. On paper they are a step ahead, but in football the numbers only point the way. The most critical key for Turkey: must score the first goal. For Belgium: must hit the target more often.
Balance of power
The two teams in 7 key areas
In how many of the 21 categories is each team ahead? 2 categories are level. The home team's home matches and the away team's away matches are used (up to 10 matches).
Key figures
Like-for-like comparison
21 categories · the stronger side is coloured
How can Turkey win?
5 keys · what the data highlights most
Must score the first goal
Turkey won 3 of the 3 matches in which they scored first. Belgium, meanwhile, took points in only 1 of the 4 matches in which they fell behind. So the first goal of the match could be the key that opens the door for Turkey.
Must push in the second half
Turkey score more of their goals in the second half: 0.5 per match in the first half, 0.9 in the second. Belgium concede 1.2 goals per match in second halves. Being patient and saving energy for the last half hour could pay off.
Must hit the target more often
Turkey take 15.8 shots per match, 4.5 of which hit the target. Belgium, meanwhile, allow their opponents 5.6 shots on target per match. About 31 of every 100 shots on target end up as goals.
Must keep finding ways to score
Turkey score 1.4 goals per match at home. Belgium, meanwhile, concede 1.8 goals per match away. The opposing defence concedes goals; being productive here makes things easier.
Must use the wings and set pieces
Turkey win 5.9 corners per match. Belgium concede 4.3 corners per match to their opponents. Pressure down the wings and set pieces are an important weapon here.
How can Belgium win?
5 keys · what the data highlights most
Must hit the target more often
Belgium take 12.6 shots per match, 5.1 of which hit the target. Turkey, meanwhile, allow their opponents 4 shots on target per match. About 35 of every 100 shots on target end up as goals.
Must start the match fast
Belgium score 0.9 goals per match in first halves. When leading at half-time, their win rate is 60%. A good start makes the rest of the match easier.
Must score the first goal
Belgium won 3 of the 5 matches in which they scored first. Turkey, meanwhile, took points in only 1 of the 4 matches in which they fell behind. So the first goal of the match could be the key that opens the door for Belgium.
Must keep finding ways to score
Belgium score 1.8 goals per match away. Turkey, meanwhile, concede 1.3 goals per match at home. The opposing defence doesn't concede easily, so every chance has to be taken.
Must use the wings and set pieces
Belgium win 5.8 corners per match. Turkey concede 3.4 corners per match to their opponents. Pressure down the wings and set pieces are an important weapon here.
When are the goals scored?
15-minute slots in recent matches
Goals scored
Goals conceded
First goal and halves
how the flow of the match affects the score
Turkey
Belgium
From shot to goal
average per match: shots → shots on target → goals
Form
last 10 matches · league, cup and Europe together
Turkey3G · 0B · 7MBelgium5G · 2B · 3MPoints accumulated in the last 10 matches
Final word
Turkey lead in 11 of the 21 categories we compared. On paper they are a step ahead, but in football the numbers only point the way. The most critical key for Turkey: must score the first goal. For Belgium: must hit the target more often.
After the match we check which of these keys came true on our How Did They Win? page.
This content is statistical analysis only and is not betting advice. Prepared by: Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu · analiz.futbol