RomaHome team
CagliariAwayHow Can They Win?
Roma lead in 19 of the 21 categories we compared. On paper they are a step ahead, but in football the numbers only point the way. The most critical key for Roma: must start the match fast. For Cagliari: must hit the target more often.
Balance of power
The two teams in 7 key areas
In how many of the 21 categories is each team ahead? Based on the home team's home matches and the away team's away matches (up to 10 matches).
Key figures
Like-for-like comparison
21 categories · the stronger side is coloured
How can Roma win?
5 keys · what the data highlights most
Must start the match fast
Roma score 1.3 goals per match in first halves. When leading at half-time, their win rate is 83%. A good start makes the rest of the match easier.
Must keep finding ways to score
Roma score 2.7 goals per match at home. Cagliari, meanwhile, concede 1.5 goals per match away. The opposing defence concedes goals; being productive here makes things easier.
Must hit the target more often
Roma take 18.6 shots per match, 7 of which hit the target. Cagliari, meanwhile, allow their opponents 4.1 shots on target per match. About 39 of every 100 shots on target end up as goals.
Must score the first goal
Roma won 6 of the 8 matches in which they scored first. Cagliari, meanwhile, took points in only 1 of the 4 matches in which they fell behind. So the first goal of the match could be the key that opens the door for Roma.
Must use the wings and set pieces
Roma win 5.8 corners per match. Cagliari concede 4.9 corners per match to their opponents. Pressure down the wings and set pieces are an important weapon here.
How can Cagliari win?
5 keys · what the data highlights most
Must hit the target more often
Cagliari take 11.9 shots per match, 4.2 of which hit the target. Roma, meanwhile, allow their opponents 3 shots on target per match. About 21 of every 100 shots on target end up as goals.
Must push in the second half
Cagliari score more of their goals in the second half: 0.3 per match in the first half, 0.6 in the second. Roma concede 0.6 goals per match in second halves. Being patient and saving energy for the last half hour could pay off.
Must score the first goal
Cagliari won 3 of the 5 matches in which they scored first. But Roma don't give up easily when behind either; in that situation they took points 100% of the time. So the first goal of the match could be the key that opens the door for Cagliari.
Watch out for minutes 16-30
Cagliari scored about 33% of their goals between minutes 16 and 30. Roma also conceded about 13% of their goals in this time window. This window could be the turning point of the match.
Must exploit the opponent's weakness
Cagliari score 0.9 goals per match away. Roma, meanwhile, concede 0.8 goals per match at home. The opposing defence doesn't concede easily, so every chance has to be taken.
When are the goals scored?
15-minute slots in recent matches
Goals scored
Goals conceded
First goal and halves
how the flow of the match affects the score
Roma
Cagliari
From shot to goal
average per match: shots → shots on target → goals
Form
last 10 matches · league, cup and Europe together
Roma5G · 4B · 1MCagliari5G · 1B · 4MPoints accumulated in the last 10 matches
Final word
Roma lead in 19 of the 21 categories we compared. On paper they are a step ahead, but in football the numbers only point the way. The most critical key for Roma: must start the match fast. For Cagliari: must hit the target more often.
After the match we check which of these keys came true on our How Did They Win? page.
This content is statistical analysis only and is not betting advice. Prepared by: Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu · analiz.futbol