ItalyHome team
FranceAwayFransa lead in 18 of the 21 categories we compared. On paper they are a step ahead, but in football the numbers only point the way. The most critical key for İtalya: must hit the target more often. For Fransa: must score the first goal.
The two teams in 7 key areas
In how many of the 21 categories is each team ahead? 1 categories are level. The home team's home matches and the away team's away matches are used (up to 10 matches).
21 categories · the stronger side is coloured
5 keys · what the data highlights most
İtalya take 13.7 shots per match, 5.7 of which hit the target. Fransa, meanwhile, allow their opponents 3.9 shots on target per match. About 32 of every 100 shots on target end up as goals.
İtalya score 1 goals per match in first halves. When leading at half-time, their win rate is 50%. A good start makes the rest of the match easier.
İtalya won 2 of the 4 matches in which they scored first. Fransa, meanwhile, took points in only 0 of the 2 matches in which they fell behind. So the first goal of the match could be the key that opens the door for İtalya.
İtalya score 1.8 goals per match at home. Fransa, meanwhile, concede 1.1 goals per match away. The opposing defence doesn't concede easily, so every chance has to be taken.
İtalya win 4.5 corners per match. Fransa concede 4.1 corners per match to their opponents. Pressure down the wings and set pieces are an important weapon here.
5 keys · what the data highlights most
Fransa won 8 of the 8 matches in which they scored first. İtalya, meanwhile, took points in only 0 of the 2 matches in which they fell behind. So the first goal of the match could be the key that opens the door for Fransa.
Fransa score more of their goals in the second half: 0.9 per match in the first half, 1.3 in the second. İtalya concede 1.2 goals per match in second halves. Being patient and saving energy for the last half hour could pay off.
Fransa score 2.2 goals per match away. İtalya, meanwhile, concede 1.8 goals per match at home. The opposing defence concedes goals; being productive here makes things easier.
Fransa take 14.6 shots per match, 6.2 of which hit the target. İtalya, meanwhile, allow their opponents 4.5 shots on target per match. About 35 of every 100 shots on target end up as goals.
Fransa win 6.3 corners per match. İtalya concede 7 corners per match to their opponents. Pressure down the wings and set pieces are an important weapon here.
15-minute slots in recent matches
how the flow of the match affects the score
average per match: shots → shots on target → goals
last 10 matches · league, cup and Europe together
Italy4G · 3B · 3MFrance7G · 1B · 2MFransa lead in 18 of the 21 categories we compared. On paper they are a step ahead, but in football the numbers only point the way. The most critical key for İtalya: must hit the target more often. For Fransa: must score the first goal.
After the match we check which of these keys came true on our How Did They Win? page.
This content is statistical analysis only and is not betting advice. Prepared by: Yaşar Kenan Şeftalicioğlu · analiz.futbol